Belgrano vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
LAN
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEL
38%
29%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
IND
39%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 1
BEL
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOC
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 1
TIG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EST
4 - 3
ARG
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 4
LAN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
ARG
55%
24%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |