Belgrano vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
20%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
8.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 1
BEL
26%
29%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 2
FER
62%
23%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
4 - 2
BEL
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
MIT
36%
30%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALV
0 - 0
GBR
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
ALV
63%
23%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |