Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
TAL
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 1
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 2
ALB
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DYJ
3 - 2
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
TFE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALM
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 1
CAU
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |