Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 1
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 0
TFE
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FER
0 - 0
BEL
20%
28%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAI
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
CAU
1 - 0
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 1
CHA
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 0
DYJ
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 4
SMA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |