Belgrano vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2000 |
EST
2 - 0
BEL
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
RAC
0 - 0
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BEL
5 - 1
NOB
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
GLP
2 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAU
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 2
RAC
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 1
ALM
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
GLP
16%
23%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CAU
3 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARG
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |