Belgium U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 3
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
SCO
0 - 1
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ENG
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
ENG
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
ISL
1 - 2
AZE
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 0
ISL
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |