Belgium U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
FRA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 1
CZE
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
GRC
1 - 2
BEL
54%
22%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
CZE
8 - 0
BGR
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
BGR
3 - 1
DEN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
MLT
2 - 2
BGR
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
ISL
3 - 2
BGR
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
NIR
1 - 1
BGR
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |