Belgium U19 vs San Marino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
LTU
2 - 2
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 0
BEL
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
4 - 2
BEL
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 2
BLR
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 2
ARM
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
6 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
4 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
5%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
LUX
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
POR
6 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 69 | 45 | -1 |