Belgium U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
SVN
66%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
SRB
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
BEL
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 2
ITA
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
ROU
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IRL
3 - 0
ITA
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
ITA
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |