Belgium U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
GEO
2 - 0
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ENG
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
SCO
2 - 2
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 3
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 8
NIR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 2
GRC
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
1 - 2
MNE
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
3 - 1
BLR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |