Belgium U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
SRB
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 1
BEL
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 1
BEL
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
17%
21%
63%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 2
CRO
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
WAL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
NOR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
SRB
2 - 3
WAL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
KAZ
1 - 1
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 1
ISL
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |