Belfort vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUR
1 - 1
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SAR
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
LYO
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAN
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAR
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AMN
4 - 0
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
FCM
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 0
VIL
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |