Belfort vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
13º
11º
47
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
THL
1 - 0
BEL
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
MEZ
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 2
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
STR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 2
TRO
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |