Belfort vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
13º
11º
47
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
THL
1 - 0
BEL
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
MEZ
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 2
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 3
STR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 2
TRO
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |