Belfort vs Strasbourg Koenigshoffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
14º
9º
16
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PON
4 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
THA
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 2
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
OBE
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
BRC
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
PON
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
THA
1 - 3
OBE
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 3
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |