Belfort vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAU
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
SAI
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
JAR
0 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
SAI
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SPI
4 - 0
ALG
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BES
5 - 2
SPI
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCS
75%
18%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPI
4 - 0
THA
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 2
SPI
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |