Belfort vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
14º
8º
4
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 5
SOC
7%
16%
77%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MEZ
0 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAO
2 - 2
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 2
THL
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RAO
43%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |