Belfort vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
+1
4.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.4%
77%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
18.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 1
ASN
7%
17%
77%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
0 - 0
LIL
31%
26%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
REI
4 - 1
BEL
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 1
IRI
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MPL
2 - 1
DIJ
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MPL
5 - 0
CAE
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AMI
1 - 2
MPL
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
REI
0 - 1
MPL
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 29 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MPL
4 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |