Belfort vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
13º
11º
32
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MEZ
0 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
THL
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
BEL
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
THL
1 - 0
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
MET
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |