Belfort vs Maur Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 0
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
BEL
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
36%
28%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 3
FCS
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SML
2 - 2
SPI
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
SML
15%
24%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SML
0 - 0
SCH
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MET
1 - 3
SML
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SML
0 - 0
ASB
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |