Belfort vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAN
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
OLY
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 0
MOA
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 1
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
LYO
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
OLY
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 3
LYO
7%
18%
75%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 0
MOA
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |