Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 3
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 4
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 2
BMA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
VST
2 - 4
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
VST
0 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |