Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 0
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
OLH
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
23%
27%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
STU
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
VST
6 - 1
LEX
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BOA
0 - 1
VST
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
FCB
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |