Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPB
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 5
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VIT
4 - 1
VST
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
VST
3 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
VST
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |