Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
BEL
7 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
FCB
1 - 3
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 1
TOR
84%
11%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SPC
5 - 2
VST
48%
22%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
4 - 1
VST
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |