Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
SAL
2 - 0
BEL
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
BEL
3 - 2
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
FAB
1 - 2
BEL
27%
24%
50%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BEL
3 - 3
SCP
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SPB
3 - 2
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
52%
21%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ACA
6 - 1
VST
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 2
VST
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
VST
3 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |