Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
20%
23%
58%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
BEL
4 - 2
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 3
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
CAL
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
3 - 1
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
VST
2 - 3
FCB
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
SLB
5 - 1
VST
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
VST
6 - 1
SPB
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |