Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
TOR
1 - 1
BEL
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
BEL
3 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
VST
5 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
VST
3 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |