Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
6 - 2
ACA
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
BEL
0 - 6
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
2 - 1
VST
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
BOA
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
SCP
3 - 2
VST
88%
8%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |