Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
SCP
0 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
5 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
OEL
1 - 0
BEL
26%
22%
52%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VST
1 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
52%
20%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VST
2 - 0
SPC
59%
18%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
FCP
8 - 0
VST
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
VST
1 - 2
OLH
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |