Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
0 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 3
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BEL
5 - 0
SPB
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 2
OLH
43%
22%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 0
VST
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 1
VST
57%
21%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
VST
1 - 1
OEL
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
EST
5 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |