Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
0 - 4
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 0
SAN
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
22%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 0
VST
66%
16%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VST
0 - 2
BOA
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
EST
8 - 0
VST
74%
14%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |