Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.6%
8.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEL
22%
21%
57%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
81%
11%
9%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
VST
2 - 3
ATL
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 1
VST
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VST
3 - 0
SAN
83%
11%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
68%
16%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
60%
18%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |