Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 4
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
BEL
10 - 0
OLI
94%
4%
2%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
BOA
1 - 4
BEL
12%
16%
72%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
23%
19%
58%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VST
0 - 7
SCP
25%
20%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SLE
5 - 2
VST
55%
19%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
VST
3 - 2
OLH
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 2
VST
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VST
1 - 4
SLB
27%
21%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |