Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 3
ATL
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
OLH
5 - 0
BEL
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
0 - 8
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
VST
3 - 3
OLH
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
12%
16%
73%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
VST
4 - 4
ATL
42%
23%
36%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |