Os Belenenses vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
2 - 3
BEL
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
VST
4 - 0
LEX
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
VST
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |