Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEX
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
PAÇ
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
OPA
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 3
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
OPA
2 - 0
VIT
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |