Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
VST
2 - 1
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 0
ACA
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
FAB
4 - 3
VIT
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |