Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 0
BEL
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
BMA
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1975 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |