Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 4
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 3
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
OLH
1 - 2
BEL
38%
30%
33%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCP
23%
27%
49%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 0
FAB
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
VIT
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
BOA
3 - 0
VIT
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |