Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CDM
0 - 0
BEL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAB
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
BEL
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
VIT
5 - 0
LEX
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 2
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
OLH
0 - 2
VIT
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |