Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SEI
0 - 1
BEL
28%
28%
43%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
31%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 3
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |