Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
SEI
1 - 2
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 2
BEL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCB
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
0 - 1
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
5 - 1
OLH
77%
14%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |