Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
FEI
1 - 3
BEL
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 1
LEX
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 2
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1962 |
FCB
3 - 2
BEL
93%
5%
2%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 1
LGC
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 3
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FEI
1 - 3
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |