Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
LEX
1 - 1
BEL
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
52%
22%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 3
BEL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 0
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 1
SPC
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
VIT
5 - 1
BOA
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |