Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 0
BEL
19%
24%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
0 - 0
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 1
BOA
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 2
SPB
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 2
VIT
62%
19%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 5
SCP
18%
20%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |