Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
BEL
6 - 1
EST
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
LGC
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
FCB
1 - 2
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
VIT
0 - 2
SCP
9%
17%
74%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOA
54%
21%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SPC
4 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |