Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 0
OLH
75%
13%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
EST
5 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIT
72%
15%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPB
49%
20%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 2
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
OLH
5 - 0
VIT
64%
17%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
31%
20%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |