Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
10.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1942 |
BEL
5 - 0
LIS
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
OLH
0 - 3
BEL
32%
22%
46%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
BEL
5 - 1
FCP
56%
18%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
BEL
7 - 3
FCP
52%
20%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
OLH
1 - 1
BEL
15%
18%
67%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1942 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
27%
20%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
7 - 2
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 3
ACA
50%
20%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
UNI
5 - 1
VIT
53%
20%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |