Os Belenenses vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 3
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 3
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
4 - 3
RIB
67%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
GON
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |