Os Belenenses vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
UDL
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
53%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
UDL
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
FCP
2 - 1
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |